Us President Election 2024 Prediction. Our prediction model calculates kamala harris’s and donald trump’s probabilities of winning each individual state and the election overall We analyze the past eight years, focusing on key figures like trump, hillary clinton,.

538’s 2024 presidential election forecast model showing democrat kamala harris’s and republican donald trump’s chances of winning. Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll’s recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.